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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Rotherham
4 - 2
Charlton

Green (9'), MacDonald (14'), Jules (45+4'), Wilks (53')
Bramall (72'), Wilks (79')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Leaburn (45'), Godden (90+2')
Coventry (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
39.95% (0.092000000000006 0.09)26.66% (0.398 0.4)33.39% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-1.387 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (-1.724 -1.72)53.29% (1.727 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (-1.48 -1.48)74.85% (1.485 1.49)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.739 -0.74)26.17% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-1.004 -1)61.25% (1.008 1.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (-1.163 -1.16)30.06% (1.168 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-1.423 -1.42)66.19% (1.427 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 39.94%
    Charlton Athletic 33.39%
    Draw 26.65%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.94%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.334 0.33)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Charlton

Rotherham United
33.3%
Draw
29.2%
Charlton Athletic
37.5%
24
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3.10pm
Gameweek 5
Charlton
1-1
Rotherham
Aneke (72')
Mitchell (43')
Kelly (58')
Evans (44')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Rotherham
0-1
Charlton
Dobson (55')
Famewo (43')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Charlton
1-1
Rotherham
Washington (83')
Stockley (5'), Famewo (40'), Purrington (84')
Miller (45+2')
Wiles (42'), Smith (44'), Ihiekwe (50'), Barlaser (89')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Charlton
3-1
Rotherham
Zyro (28'), Aribo (54', 65')
Forster-Caskey (45'), Zyro (49'), Amos (90')
Wood (77')
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Rotherham
0-2
Charlton

Mattock (42'), Ihiekwe (47'), Vaulks (94')
Bauer (16'), Magennis (66')
Magennis (29'), Holmes (83')
rhs 2.0


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