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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
62.97% (![]() | 19.39% (![]() | 17.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.04% (![]() | 34.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.05% (![]() | 56.94% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.37% (![]() | 10.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.55% (![]() | 34.45% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% (![]() | 33.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% (![]() | 69.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.77% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 4.01% Total : 62.97% | 1-1 @ 8.72% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.39% | 1-2 @ 4.83% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 17.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 83 |
2 | Wrexham | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 65 |
6 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 61 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 60 |
8 | Reading | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 59 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 56 |
10 | Blackpool | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 54 |
11 | Barnsley | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 53 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 50 |
13 | Stevenage | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 49 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 45 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 |
17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 44 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 43 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 42 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 42 |
21 | Burton Albion | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 36 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 62 | -26 | 30 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |