League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
4 - 3
Crawley

Osei-Tutu (52'), Murphy (68'), Sheehan (85'), Barker (90+9' og.)
Sheehan (22')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hepburn-Murphy (50', 62'), Swan (54')
Radcliffe (61'), Barker (72'), Feely (84'), Showunmi (90+8')
Feely (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Crawley Town
62.97% ( -0.26)	19.39% ( 0.04)	17.64% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 59.85% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

0.19)

34.96% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.05% (

0.21)

56.94% (

-0.21)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.37% (

-0.01)

10.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.55% (

-0.02)

34.45% (

0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97% (

0.36)

33.03% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

0.39)

69.62% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 62.97%

Crawley Town 17.64%

Draw 19.39%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 62.97%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.39%	1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 17.64%