League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 8, 2021 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 4
Bolton

Rodari (89')
Francomb (12'), Tsaroulla (45'), Nadesan (75'), Powell (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sarcevic (9'), Afolayan (26'), Doyle (48'), Isgrove (77')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Bolton Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
31.83%	26.61%	41.56%

Both teams to score 51.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.52%

53.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25%

75%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46%

67.54%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6%

25.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79%

60.21%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 31.83%

Bolton Wanderers 41.56%

Draw 26.6%

Crawley Town	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.83%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.56%