Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
31.83% | 26.61% | 41.56% |
Both teams to score 51.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.52% | 53.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25% | 75% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% | 31.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% | 67.54% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% | 25.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.79% | 60.21% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |