Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.