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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Bolton
1 - 2
Charlton

Randall (55')
Thomason (45+5'), Osei-Tutu (74'), Matete (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jones (71'), Anderson (86')
Mitchell (14'), Docherty (34'), Small (74'), Anderson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCharlton Athletic
51.32% (4.991 4.99)23.82% (-1.223 -1.22)24.85% (-3.767 -3.77)
Both teams to score 55.42% (0.763 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (2.505 2.51)45.89% (-2.504 -2.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (2.332 2.33)68.2% (-2.329 -2.33)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (3.022 3.02)17.9% (-3.021 -3.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (4.956 4.96)48.7% (-4.954 -4.95)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-1.615 -1.62)32.49% (1.617 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-1.854 -1.85)69.02% (1.856 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 51.32%
    Charlton Athletic 24.85%
    Draw 23.82%
Bolton WanderersDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.387 0.39)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.703 0.7)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.705 0.71)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.814 0.81)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.272 0.27)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.491 0.49)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.511 0.51)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 51.32%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.63 -0.63)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.643 -0.64)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-1.053 -1.05)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.656 -0.66)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.785 -0.79)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.364 -0.36)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.37 -0.37)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.85%

How you voted: Bolton vs Charlton

Bolton Wanderers
67.6%
Draw
8.8%
Charlton Athletic
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Charlton
2-0
Bolton
Docherty (10'), Godden (88')
Berry (8'), Coventry (8'), Mitchell (61')

Schon (61'), Santos (83'), Matete (83')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bolton
3-3
Charlton
Adeboyejo (19'), Maghoma (51'), Dadi Bodvarsson (71')
Maghoma (65'), Sheehan (77')
Small (22'), Jones (40'), Kanu (61')
Jones (27'), Jones (27'), Coventry (37'), Anderson (48'), Dobson (49'), Kanu (54'), May (90+3')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Charlton
0-2
Bolton

Jones (78')
Williams (16'), Charles (21')
Baxter (77')
Jan 28, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 29
Charlton
1-2
Bolton
Morgan (46')
Morley (4'), Charles (68')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Bolton
3-1
Charlton
Bradley (9'), Lee (41'), Johnston (76')
Iredale (65'), Jones (79')
Fraser (4')
Lavelle (75')