Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.