League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 1
Northampton

Thomason (3'), Shaw (44' og.), Collins (83')
Sheehan (41')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Shaw (8')
Taylor (31'), Shaw (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Northampton Town
66.28% ( -0.02)	19.91% ( 0.01)	13.81% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.86% (

-0.02)

45.14% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.51% (

-0.02)

67.48% (

0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.26% (

-0.01)

12.73% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.02% (

-0.02)

38.97% (

0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.77% (

44.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.69% (

80.31% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 66.27%

Northampton Town 13.81%

Draw 19.91%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Northampton Town
2-0 @ 11.96% 1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 8.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 66.27%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.83% Total : 19.91%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.81%