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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 33.59% ( | 24.55% ( | 41.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% ( | 44.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( | 66.44% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( | 25.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( | 60.27% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( | 21.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% | 53.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.59% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.86% |