League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
3 - 2
Reading

Burrell (10', 90+2'), Dadi Bodvarsson (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Craig (69'), Smith (71')
Ehibhaimha (36'), Garcia (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 4-2 Rotherham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Reading
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Reading
38.34% ( 0.01)	25.9% ( -0.01)	35.76% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.52% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.22% (

0.02)

49.78% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22% (

0.02)

71.78% (

-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

0.01)

25.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

0.02)

60.24% (

-0.02)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

26.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8% (

0.01)

62.2% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 38.34%

Reading 35.76%

Draw 25.89%

Burton Albion	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.34%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.76%