We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Stevenage
Charlton have dropped just two points in their last five home games, but they are set to face a Stevenage side that have avoided defeat in each of their last seven competitive away games, and we think that the visitors will do enough to take a point from Saturday's trip to The Valley.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.