Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.