Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 24, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Plaza Colonia

Cabrera (23'), Olivera (86')
Terans (56'), Fernandez (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cayetano (41'), Carrizo (81'), Gabriel Redin Morales (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Torque
Sunday, May 18 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-2 Danubio
Monday, May 19 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawPlaza Colonia
60.66% (-0.19 -0.19)23.69% (0.339 0.34)15.64% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 41.99% (-1.189 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43% (-1.435 -1.44)56.56% (1.434 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45% (-1.17 -1.17)77.54% (1.168 1.17)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.599 -0.6)18.4% (0.599 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (-1.023 -1.02)49.54% (1.022 1.02)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.45% (-1.07 -1.07)48.54% (1.07 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.37% (-0.786 -0.79)83.63% (0.786 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 60.65%
    Plaza Colonia 15.64%
    Draw 23.68%
PenarolDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 15.11% (0.53 0.53)
2-0 @ 12.79% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 60.65%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.48 0.48)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 3.95% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 15.64%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2025 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Plaza Colonia
1-0
Penarol
Lorenzi Gomez (75')
Diogo (33'), Barros (85'), Ocampo (90+6')

Sosa (10'), Olivera (30'), Fernandez (57'), Perez (81'), Coelho (87')
Nov 25, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 12
Penarol
0-0
Plaza Colonia
Milans (39'), Aguirregaray (70'), Arezo (90+3')
Olivera (80')
Apr 23, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 12
Plaza Colonia
1-2
Penarol
Ebere (45+1' pen.)
Saravia (34'), Hernandez (90+7')
Oct 9, 2022 11.30pm
May 14, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 12
Plaza Colonia
0-1
Penarol

Kidd (17'), Suhr (32'), Guirin (66')
Ceppelini (19' pen.)
Ceppelini (45+1'), Musto (58'), Laquintana (78')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


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