Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for San Antonio Bulo Bulo had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a San Antonio Bulo Bulo win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	Draw	Penarol
21.97% ( 0.04)	23.35% ( 0.01)	54.69% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.49% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21% (

-0.02)

46.79% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.95% (

-0.02)

69.05% (

0.03)

San Antonio Bulo Bulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45% (

0.02)

35.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.68% (

0.02)

72.32% (

-0.01)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

-0.02)

16.99% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89% (

-0.05)

47.11% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21.97%

Penarol 54.68%

Draw 23.35%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.97%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.35%	0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.68%