Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
12
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-
Bruno Veglio
19'
-
Esteban Crucci
37'
-
Francisco Cerro
75'
-
Juan Ignacio Rodriguez Sevilla
90'+3'
-
Juan Ignacio Rodriguez Sevilla
90'+3'
-
Maximiliano Silvera
31'
-
Jaime Baez
51'
-
Hector Villalba
85'
-
Leandro Nicolas Umpierrez Hernandez
89'
-
Leandro Nicolas Umpierrez Hernandez
90'
Montevideo Wanderers vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result
Montevideo Wanderers
20.19%
▼
(-1.90)
Draw
27.18%
▼
(-0.64)
Penarol
52.63%
▲
(+2.54)
Both Teams to Score:
40.61%
▼
(-0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.42%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 2.5
62.58%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 3.5
17.84%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
82.16%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 4.5
7.13%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
92.87%
▼
(-0.16)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5
53.52%
▼
(-1.83)
Under 0.5
46.48%
▲
(+1.83)
Over 1.5
17.91%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 1.5
82.09%
▲
(+1.44)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
75.88%
▲
(+1.34)
Under 0.5
24.12%
▼
(-1.34)
Over 1.5
41.58%
▲
(+1.87)
Under 1.5
58.42%
▼
(-1.87)
Score analysis
Montevideo Wanderers
20.19%
Draw
27.17%
Penarol
52.62%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0
@
8.59%
▼
(-0.58)
2-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 20.19%
2-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 20.19%
Draw
1-1
@
12.21%
▼
(-0.32)
0-0 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.17%
0-0 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.17%
Penarol
0-1
@
15.94%
▲
(+0.39)
0-2 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.69)
1-2 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.53)
1-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.21)
0-4 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 52.62%
0-2 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.69)
1-2 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.53)
1-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.21)
0-4 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 52.62%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
12
-
Kevin Rolon
4'
-
Mateo Alejandro Acosta Fernandez
17'
-
Mauro Silveira
17'
-
Emiliano Garcia
34'
-
Emiliano Garcia
39'
-
Paulo Lima
90'+2'
-
Facundo Batista
10'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
18'
-
Rodrigo Perez
25'