Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 9, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Villalba (60', 60'), Machado (90+5', 90+5')
Perez (28'), Perez (28'), Fernandez (79'), Fernandez (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carlos Montenegro (23'), Carlos Montenegro (23'), Viveros Lopez (51'), Viveros Lopez (51')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and San Antonio Bulo Bulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, April 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

All competitions

Last Game: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3-2 Olimpia
Wednesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for San Antonio Bulo Bulo had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a San Antonio Bulo Bulo win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
59.18% ( 0.07)	23.44% ( -0.01)	17.37% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 45.93% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89% (

-0.07)

53.11% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31% (

-0.06)

74.69% (

0.06)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

17.67% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.7%

48.29% (

-0)

San Antonio Bulo Bulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79% (

-0.12)

44.21% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.7% (

-0.1)

80.29% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Penarol 59.17%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 17.37%

Draw 23.44%

Penarol	Draw	San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.17%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.37%