Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Penarol

Danubio
0 - 1
Penarol


Novick (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Villalba (27')
de Amores (36'), Herrera (63')
Herrera (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-1 Danubio
Sunday, March 30 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Penarol
Wednesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 40.16%. A draw has a probability of 30.4% and a win for Danubio has a probability of 29.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Danubio win it is 1-0 (11.98%).

Result
DanubioDrawPenarol
29.48% (5.407 5.41)30.36% (1.266 1.27)40.16% (-6.674 -6.67)
Both teams to score 40.26% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.13% (-1.453 -1.45)66.86% (1.452 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.83% (-0.995 -0.99)85.17% (0.99299999999999 0.99)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (3.934 3.93)40.17% (-3.936 -3.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.19% (3.402 3.4)76.8% (-3.404 -3.4)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29% (-4.477 -4.48)32.71% (4.476 4.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (-5.324 -5.32)69.26% (5.321 5.32)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 29.48%
    Penarol 40.16%
    Draw 30.35%
DanubioDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 11.98% (1.79 1.79)
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.83 0.83)
2-0 @ 5.47% (1.293 1.29)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.417 0.42)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.523 0.52)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 13.39% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 13.13% (0.68 0.68)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.35%
0-1 @ 14.68% (-1.06 -1.06)
0-2 @ 8.2% (-1.754 -1.75)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.669 -0.67)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-1.142 -1.14)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.649 -0.65)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.16%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 8
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Sosa (59'), Romero (80'), Brazionis (85')
Romero (89')
Fernandez (90')
Cabrera (86'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Apr 14, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 8
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Sosa (35'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Ramirez (42')

Fracchia (31'), Romero (54'), Ferreira (69'), Goicoechea (90+5'), Goicoechea (90+1')
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Danubio
2-1
Penarol
Lewis (27'), Romero (45+1')
Neris (53')
Coelho (25'), Garcia (29'), Gonzalez (50')
Jul 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
1-0
Penarol
May (61')
Silva (32'), Arguello (51'), Monzon (79')

Aguirregaray (60'), Garcia (76')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')