Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.