Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Mar 23, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 1
Danubio

Abero (6')
Almeida (15'), Villar (17'), Emilio Frugone Marotta (89'), Larrosa (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Romero (89')
Millan (67'), Goicoechea (81')
Velazquez (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Cerro
Monday, March 17 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 2-2 Wanderers
Sunday, March 16 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawDanubio
26.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)30.25% (-0.004999999999999 -0)43.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 38.98% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01)67.63% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)85.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)43.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.38% (0.004999999999999 0)79.62% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)31.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.47% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 26.24%
    Danubio 43.51%
    Draw 30.24%
CerroDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 5.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.24%
0-0 @ 13.51%
1-1 @ 13.16%
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.24%
0-1 @ 15.76%
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.51%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 12
Danubio
0-0
Cerro
Tizon (73'), Cantera (90+4')
Rabunal (47'), Macelli (56'), Maximiliano Perez Azambuya (69'), Abero (88')
Jun 22, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 3
Cerro
0-0
Danubio
Rabunal (36')
Peralta (35'), Ferreira (53')
May 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Cerro
2-0
Danubio
Peralta (18'), Lacoste (27')
Abero (13'), Scorza (34')

Lewis (26'), Fracchia (56'), Fernandez (73'), Fernandez (74'), Ancheta (90+7')
Oct 19, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 6
Cerro
1-1
Danubio
Coccaro (65' pen.)
Caceres (12'), Denis (60'), Coronel (90+6')
Denis (90+8')
Branda (7')
Zarate (22'), Sosa (45+2'), Lewis (45+5'), Goicoechea (64'), Ferreira (73')
Mar 12, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 6
Danubio
1-0
Cerro
Cruz (38')