Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Mar 10, 2025 at 12.45am UK

Parque Luis Mendez Piana

Miramar Misiones
1 - 0
Danubio

Fernandez (88', 88')
Sosa (38'), Sosa (38'), Olivera (42'), Olivera (42'), Diana (55'), Diana (55'), Pereira (82'), Pereira (82'), Giossa (90+3'), Lopez Quinteros (90'), Lopez Quinteros (90'), Giossa (90+3'), Lopez Quinteros (90'), Lopez Quinteros (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Peralta (28'), Peralta (28'), Femia (54'), Femia (54'), Fernandez (90+2'), Fernandez (90+2')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Miramar Misiones and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Miramar Misiones

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro Largo 3-2 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Danubio

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 44.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 1-0 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Miramar Misiones	Draw	Danubio
25.55% ( -0.68)	29.6% ( -0.03)	44.84% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 40.02% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.88% (

-0.21)

66.12% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.33% (

-0.14)

84.67% (

0.14)

Miramar Misiones Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.87% (

-0.74)

43.13% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.6% (

-0.63)

79.4% (

0.63)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

0.29)

29.64% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

0.35)

65.68% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Miramar Misiones 25.55%

Danubio 44.84%

Draw 29.6%

Miramar Misiones	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.04% Total : 25.55%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.6%	0-1 @ 15.54% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 44.84%