Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 44.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 1-0 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.