Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Mar 31, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
2 - 1
Wanderers

Larrosa (45', 50')
Leonel Benitez (69'), Abero (76'), Nahuel Aires Almeida (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Royon (42')
Royon (16'), Teuten (90+3')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions

Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-1 Cerro
Friday, March 28 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Progreso
Thursday, March 27 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.17%) and 2-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (13.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro would win this match.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
35.9% ( -0.41)	31.28% ( -0.04)	32.82% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 38.83% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.07% (

0.14)

68.93% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.45% (

0.09)

86.54% (

-0.1)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.42% (

-0.2)

36.57% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.64% (

-0.2)

73.36% (

0.2)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23% (

0.42)

38.77% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.49% (

0.4)

75.51% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Cerro 35.9%

Montevideo Wanderers 32.81%

Draw 31.27%

Cerro	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 35.9%	0-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.27%	0-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 32.81%