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-
Jose Guerrero
11'
-
Richard Ortiz
22'
-
Jose Guerrero
57'
-
Derlis Gonzalez
90'+4'
-
Hernan Barcos
90'+5'
-
Maximiliano Olivera
19'
-
Federico Girotti
62'
-
Federico Girotti
69'
-
Rodrigo Perez
76'
Olimpia vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result
Olimpia
34.82%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
28.63%
▼
(-0.05)
Penarol
36.55%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
45.91%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.45%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
60.55%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
19.34%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
80.66%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
7.96%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
92.04%
▼
(-0.07)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5
67.2%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
32.8%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
30.64%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
69.36%
▼
(-0.22)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
68.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
31.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
31.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
68.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Olimpia
34.82%
Draw
28.62%
Penarol
36.54%
Olimpia
1-0
@
11.58%
2-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.82%
2-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.82%
Draw
1-1
@
13.31%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.62%
0-0 @ 10.39% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.62%
Penarol
0-1
@
11.94%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.54%
1-2 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.54%