Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 23, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Manuel Ferreira

Olimpia
0 - 0
Penarol

Guerrero (11', 57'), Barcos (90+5')
Ortiz (22'), Gonzalez (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Girotti (62' pen., 69')
Olivera (19'), Perez (76')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Olimpia and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

Last Game: Olimpia 0-4 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Penarol

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Penarol
Saturday, April 19 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Olimpia	Draw	Penarol
34.82% ( 0.18)	28.63% ( -0.04)	36.55% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 45.91% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.45% (

0.15)

60.55% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.34% (

0.11)

80.66% (

-0.11)

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2% (

0.2)

32.8% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

0.22)

69.36% (

-0.22)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

-0.01)

31.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

-0.02)

68.1% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Olimpia 34.82%

Penarol 36.54%

Draw 28.62%

Olimpia	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.82%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.54%