Copa Libertadores
Apr 9, 2025 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manuel Ferreira
  • Javier Dominguez 55' yellowcard
  • Richard Ortiz 79' yellowcard
  • Derlis Gonzalez 81' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Romero 25'
  • goal Braian Romero 49'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 53'
  • goal Maher Mauricio Carrizo 56'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 71'
  • goal Francisco Pizzini 90'+3'

Olimpia vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 2, 2025 11.00pm
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3 - 2 Olimpia

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 2, 2025 11.00pm
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

Olimpia 38.33% (+0.27)
Draw 28.95% (-0.11)
Velez Sarsfield 32.73% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.76% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.16% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 61.84% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 18.38% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 81.62% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 7.42% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 92.58% (-0.14)

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5 68.77% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 31.22% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 32.43% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 67.57% (-0.39)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 65.08% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 34.91% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 28.34% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.65% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Olimpia 38.32%
Draw 28.94%
Velez Sarsfield 32.72%
Olimpia
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.77% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.38% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.02% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.87% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.59% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 38.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.35% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.9% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.09% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.94%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 7.03% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 32.72%