Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11

Mar 29, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Deportivo Riestra

Gomez (43'), Gomez (43'), Romero (85'), Romero (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Herrera (9', 9')
Ramirez (22'), Ramirez (22'), Arce (40'), Arce (40'), Daniel Alonso Espinoza (45'), Daniel Alonso Espinoza (45'), Cruz Randazzo (66'), Cruz Randazzo (66'), Gaston Bracamonte (72'), Gaston Bracamonte (72'), Guille (90+1'), Guille (90+1')
Gaston Bracamonte (90+2'), Gaston Bracamonte (90+2')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Deportivo Riestra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Tucuman 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, March 18 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions

Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, March 15 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.22%) and 3-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.34%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
63.22% ( 0.03)	24.72% ( -0.05)	12.06% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 32.2% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.83% (

0.2)

65.18% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.99% (

0.14)

84.01% (

-0.14)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

0.09)

20.79% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.55% (

0.15)

53.45% (

-0.14)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.65% (

0.18)

59.35% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.69% (

0.09)

90.32% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 63.22%

Deportivo Riestra 12.06%

Draw 24.72%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 19.38% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 15.22% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 63.22%	0-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.09) 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 12.06%