Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.22%) and 3-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.34%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.