Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2025 at 5pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Progreso
1 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Fernandez (84')
Trasante (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diogo (67')
Garcia (70'), Redin (90+4'), Calleros (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Progreso
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Plaza Colonia

All competitions
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Racing
Saturday, April 5 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawPlaza Colonia
27.45% (-0.306 -0.31)27.5% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.05% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 46.55% (-0.278 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.46% (-0.258 -0.26)58.53% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89% (-0.201 -0.2)79.11% (0.202 0.2)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83% (-0.392 -0.39)37.17% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (-0.39 -0.39)73.96% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.027999999999999 0.03)60.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 27.45%
    Plaza Colonia 45.05%
    Draw 27.5%
ProgresoDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.45%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.63% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 13% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 8.78% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.96% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45.05%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 9
Plaza Colonia
2-1
Progreso
Zeballos (1'), Rodriguez (82')
Cafe (62'), Redin (68'), Dibble (90')
Silva (10')
Silva (69'), Barboza (83'), Romero (90+6')
Jul 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Progreso
1-2
Plaza Colonia
Marta (76')
Ferreira (90+2'), Roldan (90+6')
Asconeguy (39' og.), Cruz Mascia (44')
Zeballos (36'), Olivera (50'), Mele (85')
Jan 21, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Plaza Colonia
0-1
Progreso

Dibble (62'), Umeres (90+3')
Ruiz Diaz (19' og.)
Ferreira (21'), (86')
Oct 24, 2020 6.15pm
Gameweek 2
Progreso
0-0
Plaza Colonia
Mendez (66'), Silva (75'), Horacio Laens Martino (83'), Viega (90+2')
Feb 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Progreso
2-2
Plaza Colonia
Fernandez (26'), Gottesman (53')
Rodriguez (34'), Platero (45'), (62')
Platero (62')
Suhr (44'), Guirin (80')
(45'), Caseras (54'), (90')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!