Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Mar 22, 2025 at 10pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Coates (86')
Recoba (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diogo (18')
Garcia (68'), Ramos (74'), Ocampo (90+4')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Racing 0-1 Nacional
Sunday, March 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Plaza Colonia

All competitions

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-0 Penarol
Saturday, March 15 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Plaza Colonia
56.34% ( -0.21)	24.69% ( 0.22)	18.97% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.19% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.41% (

-0.8)

55.59% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0.66)

76.76% (

0.66)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

-0.39)

19.66% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

-0.64)

51.65% (

0.64)

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.25% (

-0.47)

43.75% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.09% (

-0.39)

79.91% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Nacional 56.33%

Plaza Colonia 18.97%

Draw 24.68%

Nacional	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.61% Total : 56.33%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.97%