Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Apr 6, 2025 at 2pm UK

Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
0 - 0
Progreso

Villar (30'), Camacho (79'), Nahuel Aires Almeida (90')

Pinheiro Goggia (42'), Colombino (70')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro 2-1 Wanderers
Monday, March 31 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Progreso

All competitions

Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Racing
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.96%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (13.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Progreso
36.27% ( 0.82)	30.88% ( -0.27)	32.84% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 39.79% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.18% (

0.73)

67.82% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.18% (

0.48)

85.81% (

-0.48)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.3% (

0.97)

35.7% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52% (

0.98)

72.47% (

-0.98)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88% (

0.01)

38.12% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12% (

0.01)

74.88% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cerro 36.27%

Progreso 32.84%

Draw 30.86%

Cerro	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 14.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.27%	0-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.38) 1-1 @ 13.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.86%	0-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.66% Total : 32.84%