Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Nov 6, 2020 at 9.45pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro
2 - 2
Progreso

Lopez (34'), Cabrera (77')
Lopez (27'), Lacoste (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Riquero (39'), Vidal (88')
Sosa (18'), Peraza (78'), Laens (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawProgreso
34.2%27.71%38.09%
Both teams to score 48.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.75%57.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9%78.1%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.91%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91%29.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99%65.01%
Score Analysis
    Cerro 34.19%
    Progreso 38.09%
    Draw 27.71%
CerroDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.09%