Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Juventud had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest Juventud win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.