Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventud win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.