Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Mar 30, 2025 at 7pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 2
Juventud

Morales (62' og.)
Mejia (78'), Lopez (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodriguez (20'), Chagas (90+4')
David Morosini Pereira (61'), Chagas (90+3')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Juventud.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Nacional
Wednesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Juventud

All competitions

Last Game: Juventud 0-2 Penarol
Thursday, March 27 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Juventud
61.64% ( 0.48)	21.91% ( -0.14)	16.44% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 48.61% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.46% (

0.02)

48.54% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

0.02)

70.66% (

-0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77% (

0.16)

15.23% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.11% (

0.31)

43.89% (

-0.31)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.34% (

-0.42)

42.66% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.99% (

-0.36)

79% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Nacional 61.63%

Juventud 16.44%

Draw 21.91%

Nacional	Draw	Juventud
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 61.63%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.91%	0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.44%