MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 06:56:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Mar 30, 2025 at 7pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 2
Juventud

Morales (62' og.)
Mejia (78'), Lopez (84')
Polenta (4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (20'), Chagas (90+4')
David Morosini Pereira (61'), Chagas (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Juventud.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Nacional
Wednesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Juventud 0-2 Penarol
Thursday, March 27 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawJuventud
61.64% (0.479 0.48) 21.91% (-0.139 -0.14) 16.44% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.54% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.66% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.164 0.16)15.23% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.11% (0.306 0.31)43.89% (-0.306 -0.31)
Juventud Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (-0.419 -0.42)42.66% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.99% (-0.36 -0.36)79% (0.36 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 61.63%
    Juventud 16.44%
    Draw 21.91%
NacionalDrawJuventud
1-0 @ 12.22% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.5% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 61.63%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.91%
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 16.44%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
Juventud
0-3
Nacional

Munoz (6'), Mathias Bogado (47')
Bergessio (48' pen., 87'), Rodriguez (84')
Carballo (45')
Aug 25, 2019 7pm
Juventud
0-2
Nacional
Bergessio (43'), Cardacio (93')
Bergessio (54'), Carvalho (88')
Jun 1, 2019 12am
Gameweek 15
Nacional
1-0
Juventud
Bergessio (84')
Zunino (42'), Cotugno (72'), Cardacio (91')

Navarro (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool127501981126
2Juventud127232014623
3NacionalNacional1264226141222
4Defensor SportingDefensor12633159621
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12624128420
6Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia12534119218
7PenarolPenarol125341515018
8Cerro Largo124531213-117
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque124531316-317
10Boston RiverBoston River124351317-415
11CerroCerro123541213-114
12ProgresoProgreso122641321-812
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers121651013-39
14DanubioDanubio120841015-58
15Miramar Misiones122281221-98
16River PlateRiver Plate12147916-77


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