Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
9
-
Diego Polenta
4'
-
Lucas Morales
62'
-
Luis Mejia
78'
-
Nicolas Lopez
84'
-
Agustin Rodriguez
20'
-
Angel David Morosini Pereira
61'
-
Rodrigo Chagas
90'+3'
-
Rodrigo Chagas
90'+4'
Nacional vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Juventud had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Juventud win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result
Nacional
61.64%
▲
(+0.48)
Draw
21.91%
▼
(-0.14)
Juventud
16.44%
▼
(-0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
48.61%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
48.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
29.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
70.66%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
14.21%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
85.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
84.77%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
15.23%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
56.11%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
43.89%
▼
(-0.31)
Juventud Goals
Over 0.5
57.34%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
42.66%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 1.5
20.99%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
79%
▲
(+0.36)
Score analysis
Nacional
61.63%
Draw
21.91%
Juventud
16.44%
Nacional
1-0
@
12.22%
▲
(+0.07)
2-0 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 61.63%
2-0 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 61.63%
Draw
1-1
@
10.41%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.91%
0-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.91%
Juventud
0-1
@
5.54%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 16.44%
1-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 16.44%