Liverpool (Uruguay)
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Belvedere

Liverpool
2 - 2
Nacional

Hernandez (23'), Vallejo (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Recoba (9'), Gustavo Arady Mata (76')
Baez (70'), Oliva (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 0-3 Liverpool
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, March 22 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawNacional
21.11% (0.041 0.04)25.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.79% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.11% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)54.68% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (0.037999999999997 0.04)40.88% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (0.035 0.04)77.44% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)20.32% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)52.7% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 21.11%
    Nacional 53.78%
    Draw 25.1%
LiverpoolDrawNacional
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.3% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.32% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 21.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 13.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 5.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 53.78%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Nacional

Liverpool
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Nacional
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
1-0
Liverpool
Lopez (44')
Bentancourt (23'), Oliva (32'), Polenta (37'), Velazquez (40'), Herazo (79')

Bentaberry (9'), Castillo (86'), de Luca Ibargoyen (90')
Jun 15, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
2-1
Liverpool
Bentancourt (3'), Carneiro (79')
Gonzalez (76')
Vergara (87')
Machado (45+1'), Cayetano (71'), Lemos (75'), Vergara (90+1')
Feb 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
Liverpool
1-1
Nacional
Rodriguez (45+1')
Wasilewsky (53'), Rodriguez Elduayen (68'), Amaro (71')
Ebere (64')
Oliva (9'), Castro (43'), Carneiro (90+5'), Sanabria (90+2')
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Liverpool
0-0
Nacional
Antoni (43'), Pereira (63'), Bentancourt (74'), Samudio (80')
Antoni (74'), Samudio (90+5')
Martinez (40')
Jun 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Liverpool
3-0
Nacional
Bentancourt (8', 64'), Napoli (47')
Samudio (53'), Diaz (90'), Pereira (90+2'), Napoli (90+1')

Rodriguez (32'), Martinez (40'), Rochet (44'), Trezza (52'), Polenta (83'), Noguera (90+5')