Mar 26, 2025 7.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Belvedere

Abel Hernandez 23'
Javier Vallejo 83'

Jeremia Recoba 9'
Gabriel Baez 70'
Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata 76'
Christian Oliva 90'+1'

Liverpool vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

W
W
W
W
D
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
W
W
D
W

Last game

Mar 20, 2025 11.00pm

Penarol 0 - 3 Liverpool

Goals scored

41

Top scorer

Abel Hernandez

Nacional

All competitions

D
W
D
W
W
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
D
W
W
D

Last game

Mar 22, 2025 10.00pm

Nacional 1 - 1 Plaza Colonia

Goals scored

65

Top scorer

Nicolas Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Liverpool 21.11% ▲ (+0.05)

Draw 25.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Nacional 53.79% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

47.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 54.68% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 23.99% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 76.01% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 4.5 10.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 89.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 59.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 0.5 40.88% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 22.56% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 77.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 79.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 20.32% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 47.3% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 52.7% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Liverpool 21.11%

Draw 25.1%

Nacional 53.78%

Liverpool

1-0 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.22%

Total : 21.11%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.84% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.73%

Total : 25.1%

Nacional

0-1 @ 13.23% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.02)

1-2 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.24%

0-4 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.49%

Total : 53.78%

Head to Head

Sep 8, 2024 10.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Ruben Bentancourt 23'
Christian Oliva 32'
Diego Polenta 37'
Emiliano Velazquez 40'
Nicolas Lopez 44'
Diego Herazo 79'

Bryan Bentaberry 9'
<TBD> 14'
Enzo Castillo 86'
Alfonso de Luca Ibargoyen 90'

Jun 15, 2024 9.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Ruben Bentancourt 3'
Gaston Gonzalez 76'
Gonzalo Carneiro 79'

Renzo Machado 45'+1'
Agustin Cayetano 71'
Lucas Lemos 75'
Hebert Vergara 87'
Hebert Vergara 90'+1'

Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Belvedere

Luciano Rodriguez 45'+1'
Lucas Wasilewsky 53'
Ignacio Rodriguez Elduayen 68'
Kevin Amaro 71'

Christian Oliva 9'
Alexis Castro 43'
Osinachi Ebere 64'
Lucas Sanabria 90'+2'
Gonzalo Carneiro 90'+5'

Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Belvedere

Mateo Antoni 43'
Federico Pereira 63'
Mateo Antoni 74'
Ruben Bentancourt 74'
Miguel Samudio 80'
Miguel Samudio 90'+5'

Federico Martinez 40'

Jun 23, 2023 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Belvedere

Ruben Bentancourt 8'
Gonzalo Napoli 47'
Ruben Bentancourt 64'

Feb 6, 2023 12.00am

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Belvedere

Emmanuel Gigliotti 14'
Marcos Montiel 32'

Federico Pereira 89'

Form Data

Penarol 0 - 3 Liverpool

Liverpool 4 - 1 Torque

Defensor 0 - 1 Liverpool

Liverpool 2 - 1 Cerro

Wanderers 1 - 1 Liverpool

Liverpool 2 - 1 Miramar Misiones

Nacional 1 - 1 Plaza Colonia

Racing 0 - 1 Nacional

Nacional 3 - 3 River Plate

Boston River 2 - 3 Nacional

Progreso 1 - 5 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 1 Penarol