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-
Leonardo Fernandez
50'
-
Maximiliano Olivera
55'
-
Eric Remedi
73'
-
Javier Mendez
90'
-
Lisandro Lopez
13'
-
Ivan Leguizamon
37'
-
Facundo Zavala
44'
-
Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas
66'
-
Hugo Fernandez
79'
Penarol vs Olimpia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result
Penarol
48.01%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
27.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Olimpia
24.88%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
45.66%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.3%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
58.7%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
20.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
79.24%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
8.78%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
91.22%
▲
(+0.03)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
75.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
24.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
40.99%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
59.01%
▼
(-0.02)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5
60.51%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
39.49%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
23.82%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
76.18%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Penarol
48%
Draw
27.11%
Olimpia
24.88%
Penarol
1-0
@
13.61%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48%
2-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48%
Draw
1-1
@
12.64%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.11%
0-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.11%
Olimpia
0-1
@
9%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.88%