Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Olimpia

Mauricio Carrizo (33')
Gordon (65'), Montoro (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (90+2')
Ortiz (15'), Gonzalez (72')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Olimpia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 4-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Olimpia 0-0 Penarol
Wednesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawOlimpia
47.84% (0.232 0.23)28.19% (0.042000000000002 0.04)23.96% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 42.13% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.19% (-0.307 -0.31)62.81% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.67% (-0.225 -0.22)82.33% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)61.67% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31% (-0.442 -0.44)42.69% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.97% (-0.378 -0.38)79.03% (0.375 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 47.84%
    Olimpia 23.96%
    Draw 28.18%
Velez SarsfieldDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 15.02% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.3% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 23.96%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Olimpia

Velez Sarsfield
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Olimpia
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Olimpia
0-4
Velez Sarsfield

Dominguez (55'), Ortiz (79'), Gonzalez (81')
Romero (25', 49'), Mauricio Carrizo (56'), Pizzini (90+3')
Baeza (53'), Fernandez (71')
rhs 2.0


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