Copa Libertadores
May 8, 2025 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
  • Maher Mauricio Carrizo 33' goal
  • Jano Gordon 65' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Montoro 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 15'
  • yellowcard Derlis Gonzalez 72'
  • goal Hugo Fernandez 90'+2'

Velez Sarsfield vs Olimpia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 11.00pm
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 - 1 Velez Sarsfield

Olimpia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 11.00pm
Olimpia 0 - 0 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 47.84% (+0.24)
Draw 28.19% (+0.05)
Olimpia 23.96% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.13% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.19% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 62.81% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 17.67% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 82.33% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 7.03% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 92.97% (+0.13)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 73.51% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.48% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 38.33% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.67% (+0.04)

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5 57.31% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 42.69% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 20.97% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 79.03% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 47.84%
Draw 28.18%
Olimpia 23.96%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.02% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 9.98% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.42% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 47.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.3% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.18%
Olimpia
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 9, 2025 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manuel Ferreira
  • Javier Dominguez 55' yellowcard
  • Richard Ortiz 79' yellowcard
  • Derlis Gonzalez 81' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Romero 25'
  • goal Braian Romero 49'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 53'
  • goal Maher Mauricio Carrizo 56'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 71'
  • goal Francisco Pizzini 90'+3'