Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.