Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 44.86%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.