Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 5, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
4 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Driussi (14', 14'), Colidio (28', 28'), Fernandez (33', 33'), Borja (90+10' pen., 90+10' pen.)
Gonzalez Pirez (30'), Gonzalez Pirez (30'), Galoppo (59'), Galoppo (59'), Castano (90+1'), Castano (90+1')
FT(HT: 6-2)
Mauricio Carrizo (37', 37')
Ariel Silvero (32'), Ariel Silvero (32'), Vazquez (43'), Vazquez (43'), Baeza (78'), Baeza (78'), Gomez (90+5'), Gomez (90+5')
Gomez (90+5'), Gomez (90+5')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia
Tuesday, April 29 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
59.57% (-0.104 -0.1)23.72% (0.024000000000001 0.02)16.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 43.94% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (0.031999999999996 0.03)55.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (0.027000000000001 0.03)76.36% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)18.26% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.69% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)49.3% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.75% (0.128 0.13)46.25% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.09% (0.096 0.1)81.91% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 59.56%
    Velez Sarsfield 16.7%
    Draw 23.72%
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 14.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 59.56%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.27% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 16.7%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 1am
Gameweek 18
River Plate
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Borja (49' pen.)
Pezzella (66')
Romero (26')
Bouzat (45'), Jonas Rodriguez Lucas (86')
Feb 4, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
5-0
Velez Sarsfield
Colidio (6', 45'), Borja (20', 31', 55')
Aliendro (45+2')

Gomez (27'), Florentin (53'), Bouzat (65')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
River Plate
Aquino (22'), Castro (60')
Gomez (82'), Romero (86'), Florentin (90+3'), Gordillo (90+6')

Perez (49')
May 30, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (43'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')
> Preview
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
> Preview