Copa Libertadores
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Claudio Spinelli 24' goal
  • Claudio Spinelli 24' goal
  • Claudio Spinelli 30' goal
  • Claudio Spinelli 30' goal
  • Jhegson Mendez 73' yellowcard
  • Jhegson Mendez 73' yellowcard
  • Layan Loor 78' yellowcard
  • Layan Loor 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 42'
  • yellowcard Facundo Colidio 42'
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 60'
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 60'
  • goal Giuliano Galoppo 68'
  • goal Giuliano Galoppo 68'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 74'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 74'
  • yellowcard Franco Armani 88'
  • yellowcard Franco Armani 88'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Matias Kranevitter 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Matias Kranevitter 90'+5'

Independiente del Valle vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2025 3.00am
Independiente 1 - 0 Universitario

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2025 1.30am
River Plate 0 - 0 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 27.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Independiente del Valle 27.19% (-0.08)
Draw 27.41% (-0.03)
River Plate 45.4% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.62% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.63% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 58.36% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 21.02% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 78.98% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 8.93% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 91.07% (-0.03)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 62.7% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37.29% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 25.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.08% (+0.04)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 74.35% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 25.65% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 39.45% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 60.55% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 27.19%
Draw 27.4%
River Plate 45.39%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.4%
River Plate
0-1 @ 13.01%
0-2 @ 8.85% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.73% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.02% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.39%