Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.