Copa Libertadores
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Jairo Concha 36' yellowcard
  • Aldo Corzo 49' yellowcard
  • Alex Valera 55' yellowcard
  • Jorge Murrugarra 62' yellowcard
  • Jairo Velez 72' yellowcard
  • Edison Flores 83' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Diaz 17'
  • yellowcard Enzo Perez 23'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castano 63'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bustos 74'
  • yellowcard Franco Armani 90'+5'

Universitario vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

All competitions

River Plate

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Universitario win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result

Universitario 34.67% (-0.86)
Draw 27.03% (+0.16)
River Plate 38.3% (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7% (-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.41% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 54.59% (+0.70)
Over 3.5 24.06% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 75.93% (+0.59)
Over 4.5 10.77% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 89.23% (+0.37)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5 70.12% (-0.88)
Under 0.5 29.88% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 34.02% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 65.98% (+1.08)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 72.3% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.7% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 36.74% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 63.25% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Universitario 34.67%
Draw 27.03%
River Plate 38.29%
Universitario
1-0 @ 10% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 34.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.28% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.03%
River Plate
0-1 @ 10.62% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 8.24% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.82% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.92% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 38.29%