Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.