Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.