Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.43%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.