Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 41.18%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.