Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Martin de San Juan win with a probability of 38.27%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Martin de San Juan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 2-1 (6.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.79%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.