Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.76%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 1-0 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.