Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 2, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 0
Gimnasia

Verde (81', 81')
Pardo (42'), Pardo (42'), Demian Fascendini (45+2'), Demian Fascendini (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Corbalan (22'), Corbalan (22'), Moreno (44'), Moreno (44'), Merlini (72'), Merlini (72')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 Union
Monday, February 17 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Tucuman 0-1 Gimnasia
Monday, February 24 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.92%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.

Result
UnionDrawGimnasia
46.54% (0.318 0.32)30.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.4% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 37.44% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.55% (-0.131 -0.13)68.45% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.77% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)86.23% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.104 0.1)29.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.124 0.12)66% (-0.12 -0.12)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.41% (-0.384 -0.38)46.59% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.83% (-0.294 -0.29)82.18% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Union 46.53%
    Gimnasia 23.39%
    Draw 30.04%
UnionDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 16.81% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.15% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 46.53%
0-0 @ 13.92% (0.06 0.06)
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.04%
0-1 @ 10.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.39%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 19
Gimnasia
2-3
Union
De Blasis (45+3' pen.), Castillo (54')
Gallo (61')
Balboa (5'), Morales (70' og.), Mosqueira (90+6')
Mosqueira (90+3')
Jun 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Union
2-0
Gimnasia
Domina (56'), Castrillon (72')
Machuca (37'), Roldan (55'), Calderon (70'), Gordillo (70')

Lescano (12'), Miramon (52'), Torres (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 14
Union
0-2
Gimnasia

Roldan (42'), Ignacio Nardoni (45+5'), Gerometta (56'), Luna Diale (70'), Gonzalez (90')
Morales (19'), Soldano (86')
Enrique (29'), Rey (56'), Aleman (58')
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Gimnasia
1-0
Union
Sosa (48')
Ramirez (18'), Piris (43'), Tarragona (76'), Aleman (90+3')
Gorosito (88')

Ignacio Nardoni (27'), Britez (29')
Sep 20, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-0
Union
Guiffrey (55')
Contin (90+6')

Ignacio Nardoni (43'), Calderon (47'), Manuel Garcia (73')
rhs 2.0


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