Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2025 at 1.15am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
0 - 1
Argentinos Jrs


Corvalan (62'), Corvalan (62'), Martinez (77'), Martinez (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Oroz (6', 6')
Fattori (69'), Fattori (69')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 1-0 Union
Monday, February 3 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Platense
Tuesday, February 4 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 33.96%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 32.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.75%) and 2-1 (6.29%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (14.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawArgentinos Juniors
33.96% (0.289 0.29)32.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.88% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 36.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)71.26% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.97% (-0.012 -0.01)88.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71% (0.20200000000001 0.2)39.28% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (0.187 0.19)75.99% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (-0.227 -0.23)39.34% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (-0.214 -0.21)76.04% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Union 33.96%
    Argentinos Juniors 33.87%
    Draw 32.16%
UnionDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 14.44% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.078 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.29% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 33.96%
0-0 @ 15.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 13.47%
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 32.16%
0-1 @ 14.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.73% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 33.87%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 10.45pm
Gameweek 11
Union
3-0
Argentinos Jrs
Rivero (25'), Balboa (32'), Orsini (66' pen.)
Paz (22'), Corvalan (57')

Veron (40'), Galvan (45+3')
Apr 11, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 11
Argentinos Jrs
5-1
Union
Avalos (21', 30', 53'), Mac Allister (40'), Gonzalez (78')
Gonzalez (83')
Aug 14, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 13
Argentinos Jrs
2-0
Union
Avalos (38', 87')
Torren (45+7'), Cabrera (45+8'), Villalba (83'), Redondo Solari (83')

Calderon (45+1'), Marabel (62'), Alvez (82')
May 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
Argentinos Jrs
2-1
Union
Torren (6' pen.), Mac Allister (83')
Gallegos (58')
Mele (65'), Ignacio Nardoni (75'), Corvalan (81'), Paz (90+1')
Aug 30, 2021 6.30pm
Second Phase
Union
1-0
Argentinos Jrs
Cordero (4' pen.)
Borgnino (60')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!