Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.