Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.