Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 34.1% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (6.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (19.35%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match.