Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Sarmiento

Gimnasia
0 - 0
Sarmiento


Di Biasi (4'), Insfran (88')
FT

Manuel Insaurralde (7'), Villalba (21'), Roncaglia (66'), Garcia (77')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Rosario 2-1 Gimnasia
Saturday, March 15 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Talleres
Sunday, March 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.69%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawSarmiento
53.18% (1.419 1.42)27.94% (-0.061 -0.06)18.88% (-1.358 -1.36)
Both teams to score 37.29% (-1.517 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.06% (-0.985 -0.98)65.94% (0.986 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.46% (-0.683 -0.68)84.54% (0.68299999999999 0.68)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.205 0.2)25.39% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (0.28 0.28)60.19% (-0.278 -0.28)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.98% (-2.175 -2.18)50.02% (2.175 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.33% (-1.555 -1.56)84.67% (1.555 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 53.17%
    Sarmiento 18.88%
    Draw 27.94%
GimnasiaDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.4% (0.72 0.72)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 53.17%
0-0 @ 12.69% (0.45 0.45)
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 2.86% (-0.227 -0.23)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.358 -0.36)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.88%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 18
Sarmiento
1-1
Gimnasia
Gaitan (34')
Mendez (18'), Morales (64'), Gaitan (67'), Lopez (85')
Troyansky (21')
Garayalde (54'), Cabral (75'), Max (79'), Canto (90+2')
May 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Gimnasia
0-0
Sarmiento
Melluso (71')
Mendez (74'), Quinteros (90+2')
Aug 28, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
Sarmiento
0-0
Gimnasia
Castro (40'), Brea (74'), Bettini (90+1')
Enrique (45+2'), Cecchini (66')
Ramirez (90+3')
Apr 15, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 10
Gimnasia
1-3
Sarmiento
Rasmussen (81'), Rosso (86')
Oct 3, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
0-1
Sarmiento

Miguel Rodriguez (57')
Torres (45+1' pen.)
Garcia (29'), Rasmussen (42'), Vicentini (57'), Bazzana (58')