Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.05%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.