Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Mar 15, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio El Fortin de Luduena

Rosario
2 - 1
Gimnasia

Malcorra (33' pen.), Ferreira (54')
Gimenez (19'), Campaz (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castillo (38')
Suso (19'), Garayalde (45+1'), Pintado (82')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Rosario
Tuesday, March 11 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, March 10 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.29%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawGimnasia
49.6% (-0.341 -0.34)29.7% (0.024999999999999 0.02)20.7% (0.317 0.32)
Both teams to score 35.77% (0.277 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.86% (0.154 0.15)69.14% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.32% (0.099 0.1)86.68% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)28.66% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (-0.119 -0.12)64.47% (0.12 0.12)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.13% (0.455 0.45)49.87% (-0.455 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.43% (0.316 0.32)84.56% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 49.6%
    Gimnasia 20.7%
    Draw 29.69%
Rosario CentralDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 17.86% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 11.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 49.6%
0-0 @ 14.29% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.7% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 29.69%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.7%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 9
Gimnasia
0-1
Rosario

Cruz Esquivel (82'), Castillo (90+6')
Cruz Esquivel (86')
O'Connor (79')
O'Connor (73')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 9
Gimnasia
0-1
Rosario

Cruz Esquivel (82'), Castillo (90+6')
Cruz Esquivel (86')
O'Connor (79')
O'Connor (73')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2024 12am
Gameweek 6
Rosario
2-1
Gimnasia
Quintana (6'), Martinez (30')
Martinez (44'), Modica (82'), Sandez (90+5')
De Blasis (45' pen.)
Saravia (30'), Morales (61')
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Gimnasia
2-1
Rosario
Tarragona (44', 55' pen.)
Bolivar (47')
Cervera (21')
O'Connor (23')
Mar 31, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 9
Rosario
3-1
Gimnasia
Veliz (22', 82'), Martinez (60')
Barros Schelotto (40')
rhs 2.0


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