Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

River Plate
0 - 0
Barcelona


Castano (76'), Castano (76'), Martinez (82'), Martinez (82'), Borja (90+1'), Borja (90+1')
FT

Vallecilla (47'), Vallecilla (47')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 6 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Independiente
Wednesday, April 2 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 11.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawBarcelona SC
70.02% (0.337 0.34)18.63% (-0.153 -0.15)11.35% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (0.18 0.18)45.44% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (0.16999999999999 0.17)67.78% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.142 0.14)11.78% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.308 0.31)36.97% (-0.311 -0.31)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.55% (-0.216 -0.22)48.45% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (-0.158 -0.16)83.56% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 70.01%
    Barcelona SC 11.35%
    Draw 18.63%
River PlateDrawBarcelona SC
2-0 @ 13.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 12.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.31% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 70.01%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.63%
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.35%